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Hurricane Matthew impacted a large portion of the U.S. Southeast coast, from Florida to North Carolina, from October 6-9, 2016. Storm surge reached 0.5 to 2.5 meters above predicted tides. Offshore wave heights in excess of 9 meters were observed near Cape Canaveral, Florida. These large waves contributed an additional 2 to 5 meters of wave runup at the shoreline. The combined effects of surge and storm-induced wave runup created elevated total water levels at the shoreline, causing extensive erosion of the beach and dunes. Response activities included: Forecast of potential coastal change (see next section) Pre- and post-storm photos documenting coastal change (see galleries below) Qualitative validation of coastal change forecast (USGS Data Release) Oblique aerial photography of the coast from Port St. Lucie, Florida, to Kitty Hawk, North Carolina, collected October 13-15, 2016 (USGS Data Release) Post-storm lidar survey of open coast shoreline from Florida to Virginia Quantitative observations of coastal change (coming soon) Forecast of Potential Coastal Change The coastal change forecast model predicts the probability of where and how sand dunes along the coast will be impacted by water levels during a storm. This includes the combined effect of surge and wave runup. The color band closest to the shoreline is the probability of dune erosion, the middle color band is the probability that sand dunes will be overtopped by waves during the storm, and the outer color band is the probability that the sand dunes will be completely inundated/flooded. The model forecast is available on the Coastal Change Hazards Portal and more information about the model can be found here: Scenario-Based Assessments for Coastal Change Hazard Forecasts. Sources/Usage: Public Domain. The Coastal Change Hazards Portal includes the forecacast of potential coastal change impacts for a direct landfall of Hurricane Matthew based on NHC Advisory 037, 0800 AM EDT OCT 07 2016. (Public domain.) Pre-and Post-Storm Photo Comparisons The photos pairs below show aerial photos taken before and similar imagery taken a few days after Hurricane Matthew's landfall (https://storms.ngs.noaa.gov/). The photos show how the coast was impacted by the storm and are used to validate the forecast model. Florida – / 6 Georgia – / 6 South Carolina – / 7 North Carolina – / 7 Research is part of the National Assessment of Storm-Induced Coastal Change Hazards project. Contacts St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center 600 4th Street South St. Petersburg, FL 33701 United States Phone 727-502-8000 Fax 727-502-8181 Joseph Long (Former Employee) Research Oceanographer St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center Kara Doran Physical Scientist St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center Email [email protected] Phone 727-502-8117 Explore Search CoastsNatural HazardsHurricane MatthewView All Below are other science projects associated with this project. Label link January 18, 2018 Forecasting Coastal Change This project focuses on understanding the magnitude and variability of extreme storm impacts on sandy beaches. The overall objective is to improve real-time and scenario-based predictions of coastal change to support management of coastal infrastructure, resources, and safety. By Natural Hazards, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center link January 18, 2018 Forecasting Coastal Change This project focuses on understanding the magnitude and variability of extreme storm impacts on sandy beaches. The overall objective is to improve real-time and scenario-based predictions of coastal change to support management of coastal infrastructure, resources, and safety. Learn More link January 17, 2018 National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards Research to identify areas that are most vulnerable to coastal change hazards including beach and dune erosion, long-term shoreline change, and sea-level rise. By Natural Hazards, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center link January 17, 2018 National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards Research to identify areas that are most vulnerable to coastal change hazards including beach and dune erosion, long-term shoreline change, and sea-level rise. Learn More Below are publications associated with this project. Label July 1, 2013 National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal erosion hazards: Southeast Atlantic Coast Beaches serve as a natural barrier between the ocean and inland communities, ecosystems, and natural resources. However, these dynamic environments move and change in response to winds, waves, and currents. During extreme storms, changes to beaches can be large, and the results are sometimes catastrophic. Lives may be lost, communities destroyed, and millions of dollars spent on rebuilding. Durin By Natural Hazards, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center September 1, 2011 National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal change vulnerability No abstract available. By St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center Below are news stories associated with this project. Label link October 31, 2016 Before and After Photos: SE Beach Dunes Lost to Hurricane Matthew New low-altitude aerial photos of Southeastern beaches taken before and after Hurricane Matthew passed offshore show a new storm-cut inlet, and roads... Read Article link October 21, 2016 Post Hurricane Matthew: USGS Continues Efforts to Document How High Floodwaters Reached The heavy rains and storm surge Hurricane Matthew produced caused severe flooding in many parts of the south east, resulting in almost 40 peak flood... Read Article link October 8, 2016 Record Number of USGS Sensors Deployed for Hurricane Matthew The U.S. Geological Survey is using many forms of technology to track and document Hurricane Matthew’s effects on the eastern seaboard. Here is an in... Read Article link October 6, 2016 Into the Storm – Hurricane Matthew USGS is engaged in research, monitoring, sampling and coastal change forecasting associated with Hurricane Matthew from Florida north up into Virginia... Read Article link October 6, 2016 FL, GA, SC Beaches Face 80-95 Percent Chance of Erosion from Hurricane Matthew As the east coast prepares for Hurricane Matthew's arrival, the U.S. Geological Survey uses advanced models to forecast the coastal impacts Matthew... Read Article Overview Hurricane Matthew coastal change forecast and pre- and post-storm photos documenting coastal change. Hurricane Matthew impacted a large portion of the U.S. Southeast coast, from Florida to North Carolina, from October 6-9, 2016. Storm surge reached 0.5 to 2.5 meters above predicted tides. Offshore wave heights in excess of 9 meters were observed near Cape Canaveral, Florida. These large waves contributed an additional 2 to 5 meters of wave runup at the shoreline. The combined effects of surge and storm-induced wave runup created elevated total water levels at the shoreline, causing extensive erosion of the beach and dunes. Response activities included: Forecast of potential coastal change (see next section) Pre- and post-storm photos documenting coastal change (see galleries below) Qualitative validation of coastal change forecast (USGS Data Release) Oblique aerial photography of the coast from Port St. Lucie, Florida, to Kitty Hawk, North Carolina, collected October 13-15, 2016 (USGS Data Release) Post-storm lidar survey of open coast shoreline from Florida to Virginia Quantitative observations of coastal change (coming soon) Forecast of Potential Coastal Change The coastal change forecast model predicts the probability of where and how sand dunes along the coast will be impacted by water levels during a storm. This includes the combined effect of surge and wave runup. The color band closest to the shoreline is the probability of dune erosion, the middle color band is the probability that sand dunes will be overtopped by waves during the storm, and the outer color band is the probability that the sand dunes will be completely inundated/flooded. The model forecast is available on the Coastal Change Hazards Portal and more information about the model can be found here: Scenario-Based Assessments for Coastal Change Hazard Forecasts. Sources/Usage: Public Domain. The Coastal Change Hazards Portal includes the forecacast of potential coastal change impacts for a direct landfall of Hurricane Matthew based on NHC Advisory 037, 0800 AM EDT OCT 07 2016. (Public domain.) Pre-and Post-Storm Photo Comparisons The photos pairs below show aerial photos taken before and similar imagery taken a few days after Hurricane Matthew's landfall (https://storms.ngs.noaa.gov/). The photos show how the coast was impacted by the storm and are used to validate the forecast model. Florida – / 6 Georgia – / 6 South Carolina – / 7 North Carolina – / 7 Research is part of the National Assessment of Storm-Induced Coastal Change Hazards project. Contacts St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center 600 4th Street South St. Petersburg, FL 33701 United States Phone 727-502-8000 Fax 727-502-8181 Joseph Long (Former Employee) Research Oceanographer St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center Kara Doran Physical Scientist St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center Email [email protected] Phone 727-502-8117 Explore Search CoastsNatural HazardsHurricane MatthewView All Science Below are other science projects associated with this project. Label link January 18, 2018 Forecasting Coastal Change This project focuses on understanding the magnitude and variability of extreme storm impacts on sandy beaches. The overall objective is to improve real-time and scenario-based predictions of coastal change to support management of coastal infrastructure, resources, and safety. By Natural Hazards, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center link January 18, 2018 Forecasting Coastal Change This project focuses on understanding the magnitude and variability of extreme storm impacts on sandy beaches. The overall objective is to improve real-time and scenario-based predictions of coastal change to support management of coastal infrastructure, resources, and safety. Learn More link January 17, 2018 National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards Research to identify areas that are most vulnerable to coastal change hazards including beach and dune erosion, long-term shoreline change, and sea-level rise. By Natural Hazards, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center link January 17, 2018 National Assessment of Coastal Change Hazards Research to identify areas that are most vulnerable to coastal change hazards including beach and dune erosion, long-term shoreline change, and sea-level rise. Learn More Publications Below are publications associated with this project. Label July 1, 2013 National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal erosion hazards: Southeast Atlantic Coast Beaches serve as a natural barrier between the ocean and inland communities, ecosystems, and natural resources. However, these dynamic environments move and change in response to winds, waves, and currents. During extreme storms, changes to beaches can be large, and the results are sometimes catastrophic. Lives may be lost, communities destroyed, and millions of dollars spent on rebuilding. Durin By Natural Hazards, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center September 1, 2011 National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal change vulnerability No abstract available. By St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center News Below are news stories associated with this project. Label link October 31, 2016 Before and After Photos: SE Beach Dunes Lost to Hurricane Matthew New low-altitude aerial photos of Southeastern beaches taken before and after Hurricane Matthew passed offshore show a new storm-cut inlet, and roads... Read Article link October 21, 2016 Post Hurricane Matthew: USGS Continues Efforts to Document How High Floodwaters Reached The heavy rains and storm surge Hurricane Matthew produced caused severe flooding in many parts of the south east, resulting in almost 40 peak flood... Read Article link October 8, 2016 Record Number of USGS Sensors Deployed for Hurricane Matthew The U.S. Geological Survey is using many forms of technology to track and document Hurricane Matthew’s effects on the eastern seaboard. Here is an in... Read Article link October 6, 2016 Into the Storm – Hurricane Matthew USGS is engaged in research, monitoring, sampling and coastal change forecasting associated with Hurricane Matthew from Florida north up into Virginia... Read Article link October 6, 2016 FL, GA, SC Beaches Face 80-95 Percent Chance of Erosion from Hurricane Matthew As the east coast prepares for Hurricane Matthew's arrival, the U.S. Geological Survey uses advanced models to forecast the coastal impacts Matthew... 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