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Unity & false divides Liberals Iran related pages: the Empire's new Middle East map - Zbigniew Brzezinski warned against war on Iran - 1980 October Surprise wars on Iran Bush Cheney Cold War most Iranian oil in Khuzestan: Arab province nuclear Iran related pages January 4, 2020: The Cold War on Iran is on the verge of going hot. The US assassination of General Soleimani, top military commander for the Islamic Republic, could not be more brazen and reckless. Potentials for severe escalation are obvious and terrifying. If Trump had been President during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, there would have been a nuclear war. Under the US Constitution, Congress has sole authority to declare war, but Congress no longer exercises this requirement and will not impeach imperial Presidents who start illegal, immoral wars. Trump escalated immediately just before the Senate trial of his impeachment. Starting a war to deflect from the trial is not only a crime against peace - the US prosecuted Nazis at Nuremberg for this - it also risks further inflaming other conflicts around the region, disrupting the oil flows and imploding the global economy. www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/as-it-happens-friday-edition-1.5414075/iranian-broadcaster-warns-escalation-is-not-the-way-forward-amid-calls-for-soleimani-retaliation-1.5414077 Iranian broadcaster warns 'escalation is not the way forward' amid calls for Soleimani retaliation 'The stakes are high for everybody, including Canada,' says Ghanbar Naderi of Iran's state-run Press TV, CBC Radio, Jan 03, 2020 1953 Coup Consequences US and British intelligence overthrew the democratically elected government of Iran in 1953. Prime Minister had Mosaddegh nationalized Iran's oil, which was unacceptable to Washington and London. In 2009, President Obama admitted US responsibility for the coup on his first overseas trip, to Egypt (possibly anticipating the upcoming Arab Spring, probably not precisely but the ferment was already noticeable and increasing). But that history was universally known throughout the region. Perhaps only in the US "homeland" is there little understanding of this crime. One connection rarely made is part of the US management of the overthrow of Iranian democracy was by Allen Dulles, Eisenhower's CIA director, who also overthrew the US government a decade later via the extrajudicial removal of President Kennedy from office. Allen's brother John Foster Dulles was Eisenhower's Secretary of State, but died before JFK became President. The coup in Iran was one of the great tragedies for the unraveling of the Islamic world in the 20th century. Without it, there might not have been the Shah, the rise of Khomeini, the Iran-Iraq war, and US wars on Iraq. Kennedy tilted toward nationalists instead of religious fundamentalists in the Middle East, and it is tempting to consider how different this region would have been if he had been allowed to remain President. Kennedy snubbed the King of Saudi Arabia when he came to the US. He pressured Israel, then building the Dimona nuclear weapons factory, not to go nuclear. (Perhaps a second term of JFK might have prevented the Six Day War of 1967, whose legacy includes Israeli domination of the West Bank.) JFK's opposition to the Shah could have resulted in a very different country than the Islamic Republic of Iran, itself a reaction to the Shah's dictatorship. The cycles of violence and trauma continue to destabilize and destroy the Middle East. Opposition to US war on Iran does not imply support for the severe human rights abuses of the theocracy, including mass murder of Bahai religious minority one of the worst users of the death penalty in the world violent repression of dissent misogynistic control of women support for the war criminal Assad in Syria and Hezbollah in Lebanon War on Iran makes accountability for these crimes less likely. In most countries, citizens who disagree with oppressive leaderships usually rally around the flag when their country is under attack. On 9/11, President George W. Bush's approval rating doubled from the 40s percentage to about 90 percent. It's worth remembering that immediately after 9/11 the Iranian government encouraged sympathy rallies with America. Iran also considered al-Qaeda to be an enemy. Iranian oil revenues in decline Economic warfare damaged the Iranian economy and makes the government's problems more desperate. Sanctions cut the ability of Iran to sell oil and fund government operations. Iran's growing population uses more of its oil domestically, with less remaining to sell abroad. The lowered price of oil caused in part by tar sands and fracking in America (which postponed rationing) economically stressed Iran, as happened with other oil states. US and Israel vs. Iran The US and Israel "collaborated" on the "Stuxnet" cyber attack that damaged centrifuges. Nuclear scientists have been assassinated. https://mondoweiss.net/2019/12/israeli-fear-that-netanyahu-will-start-war-to-save-his-skin-wont-make-it-into-the-nyt/ Israeli fear that Netanyahu will start war to save his skin won't make it into the 'NYT' Media Analysis James North on December 28, 2019 The Haaretz headline tells it all: "Netanyahu should not be allowed to start a war with Iran to save himself." The two authors note that Israel's prime minister goes into his third election campaign in a year facing three criminal indictments, and "The concern is that he could initiate a major armed conflict with Iran in the hope of convincing the Israeli electorate that there is no substitute for his leadership in spite of the costs to Israel of such a war." What makes the article even more compelling is that its authors are hardly left-wing extremists. Shlomo Brom is a retired Brigadier General in Israel's army, and Shimon Stein is a retired ambassador who is a senior fellow at the Institute for Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Attacking Iran risks wider wars with Russia and China www.newsweek.com/russia-us-qassem-soleimani-strike-damage-regional-stability-impact-millions-people-1480262 RUSSIA SAYS U.S. SOLEIMANI STRIKE WILL DAMAGE REGIONAL STABILITY, IMPACT MILLIONS OF PEOPLE BY DAVID BRENNAN ON 1/3/20 and a comment from "Quark Hadron" Middle East stability.... I have to chuckle.... Since the early 1950's it has been US foreign policy to promote instability in the Middle East. Trump is only doing what his predecessors have done since then. (Before replying in the negative, use that internet connection you obviously have, do web search on something like "united states middle east destabilization policy" and educate yourself first.) At the beginning of my military career I was training with Iranians. Then I was training Iraqis. Then I was helping bomb Iraqis...... Then we're back to training them and trying to 'help them rebuild' www.newsweek.com/qassem-soleimani-mocked-donald-trump-cabaret-owner-gambler-warned-us-threaten-iran-1480209 QASSEM SOLEIMANI ONCE MOCKED TRUMP AS A 'CABARET OWNER' AND A 'GAMBLER,' WARNED U.S. NOT TO THREATEN IRAN BY DAVID BRENNAN ON 1/3/20 www.newsweek.com/iran-warns-us-middle-east-dominance-over-naval-drills-russia-china-1479628 IRAN WARNS U.S. ITS MIDDLE EAST DOMINANCE IS OVER AFTER NAVAL DRILLS WITH RUSSIA, CHINA BY DAVID BRENNAN ON 12/30/19 What could have been (or maybe in the future, after Trump) Drought stricken, Iran buys US wheat for first time in 27 years Aug 25, 2008 - Agence France Press Wracked by drought, Iran has turned to the United States for wheat for the first time in 27 years, marking a setback for Tehran's search for agricultural self-sufficiency. According to a recent US Department of Agriculture report, Iran has bought about 1.18 million tonnes of US hard wheat since the beginning of the 2008-2009 crop season in June. The number, which has been growing steadily all summer, already represents nearly 5.0 percent of US annual exports forecast by the USDA. The last time Iran imported US wheat was in 1981-1982. .... Analysts noted that Tehran could have used an intermediary, like Syria, to import US wheat to avoid having the sale recorded in official data. Bush Cheney Cold War on Iran The Cheney-Bush administration was blocked from attacking Iran during their second term. A significant faction of the intelligence agencies and generals in the US and Israel were opposed - not out of humanitarian considerations, but that this would increase the havoc in the region, which risks devastating consequences. Trump and his backers are aiming for a second shot at full scale war, but a decade after Cheney and Netayahu failed to launch full scale war the precariousness of the global economy's dependence on Middle East oil is even more severe. While there are too many variables, it seems unlikely that the US can attack Iran in a full scale war. There is no elasticity in the oil system any more. There is no more untapped capacity in any country to bridge the gap of Iran's shutdown. Iran's military could retaliate in many ways. Iran's Navy would probably try to disrupt oil flows through the Straits of Hormuz. Perhaps Iran would launch a (conventionally armed) missile at the Saudi oil export terminal at Ras Tanura, just across the Gulf from Iran. If that ever happens, it would blow up the whole global economy, without nuclear weapons. Europe, Japan, China, India and other ind… truncated (62,008 more characters in archive)