Aurora Australis Forecast Home Aurora Forecast » Solar wind summary (Last 24 hours) Aurora Alerts! Solar Activity » Solar activity summary (Last 24 hours) Log In » Register Report a sighting! Aurora Gallery Sky Cameras Aurora School » What is solar max and why is it important? Best place to see the Northern Lights? How to photograph the aurora Know your Aurora Jargon Contact Us - Navigation -HomeAurora Forecast »- Solar wind summary (Last 24 hours)Aurora Alerts!Solar Activity »- Solar activity summary (Last 24 hours)Log In »- RegisterReport a sighting!Aurora GallerySky CamerasAurora School »- What is solar max and why is it important?- Best place to see the Northern Lights?- How to photograph the aurora- Know your Aurora JargonContact Us Aurora Forecast Hourly Aurora Forecast Using real-time solar wind data from Nasa’s ACE spacecraft, matched with data obtained from a network of magnetometers located worldwide, we are able to forecast, with reasonable accuracy, how the Southern Lights will behave up to one hour in advance. The image shows estimated aurora activity now. Image should be used as a guide only, it is based on predicted geomagnetic activity. Aurora Australis may or may not be visible. Right now, the aurora is predicted to be: What do Kp numbers mean? System status: All Good. 3 day forecast Here are the predicted Kp numbers for the next 3 days. They can change at any time due to solar events, so you should check them at least once a day. Time now in UTC (Universal Time) is: 01:19 04/01/23 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 00-03UT 2.33 1.67 1.33 03-06UT 1.67 1.33 1.67 06-09UT 1.33 1.33 1.33 09-12UT 1.33 1.33 1.33 12-15UT 1.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 0.67 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 1.33 1.67 1.67 21-00UT 1.67 1.67 1.67 Why do we use UTC?UTC (Universal Time) is used in science, weather, aviation, military and many other fields. It eliminates confusion with multiple time zones and daylight saving. For more information on UTC click here Solar Wind Gauges These gauges are our own system, they are updated every 60 seconds directly from Nasa’s ACE spacecraft data. The data you see here is what the ACE spacecraft monitored only moments ago. It is the very latest live solar wind data available. These 3 components are the most important components of the solar wind (that we as aurora watchers are interested in). You can view all the components of the solar wind on our other solar wind tool here. Guages are updated every minute live (without the need for page refresh). How to interpret the gauge activity Real time solar wind toolclick to launch Aurora Ovation Oval(short term prediction) GOES Magnetometer NOAA CME Prediction Forecast (*NEW*)click to launch NASA CME Prediction Forecast (*NEW*)click to launch The ACE spacecraft has been superseded by DSCOVR (data below).ACE is still operational however, so now we have two sources of solar wind data. Data from DSCOVR: Deep Space Climate Observatory – courtesy of SWPC. ACE Real Time Solar Wind MAG & SWEPAM data ACE Real Time Solar Wind EPAM (Low Energy Electrons & Protons) data Magnetometer located in Hobart, Tasmania Magnetometer located in Launceston, Tasmania K index for Hobart, Tasmania K index for Launceston, Tasmania Why do we use Hobart data? When chasing auroras you always want to check the geophysical data for a place slightly further south of where you are. The southern lights start at around 100km high up in the atmosphere, so from a flat point on the earth (a beach, or field for example), you can see this aurora activity even if you are many hundreds of kilometres north of it. Think of it along the lines of standing on a hill you can see much further to the horizon than when stood in a flat field. Imagine standing on a mountain 100km high how far you could see? It also works in the reverse. If there is strong aurora australis activity over the Southern Ocean, many hundreds of km away from Australasian landmass, you can often still see it from the shore. For this reason, we choose to use Hobart’s geophysical data sources as they are the first indications of any strong aurora activity. So even if you are on the south coast of mainland Australia and a magnetometer local to you is registering very little activity, if Hobart’s magnetometer is going crazy, then head out and look to the southern horizon and you might just get lucky! Clear skies and good hunting. What Kp strength do you need to view aurora where you are? Comments are closed. Current estimated aurora level Latest NOAA/POES image. Short term forecast Short term forecast (<1 hour) Weather Loading Widget… Moon Phase CURRENT MOONmoon phase info Sponsors About Aurora Service was set up by me (Tony) in my spare time. I am a computer programmer and aurora watcher, so I combined both experiences to create this site to help aid my aurora viewing. It has kept growing since. Aurora Service We now have 3 Aurora Service websites providing aurora information in 3 continents. Aurora Service (North America) Aurora Service (Europe) Aurora Service (Australis) Contact usThis is a text widget. Put your own widget by going to appeareance widget area. Nullam posuere felis a lacus tempor eget dignissim arcu adipiscing. Donec est est, rutrum vitae bibendum vel, suscipit non metus. Nullam posuere felis a lacus tempor eget dignissim arcu adipiscing. Donec est est, rutrum vitae bibendum vel, suscipit non metus Copyright 2023 ↑